Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at measure are not initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other people hold the resembling determine and beliefs and thus follow the same thinking normal as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of consistency becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from dealings better alternatives. Aspects are:i. Powerful stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with in the raw discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the spick-and-span education in order to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their ratiocination. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one decision preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? flip offs? that would occur through making that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to justify the decision made to others to carry on oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they need positive reinforcement and plectron to see what they regard to see, which can make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB identical to Jervis: Powerful intent/ tactile sensation Preservation and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the sensed risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? picking the safest option and then movement to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no suitable alternative can be found = tenseness which ! leads to-over evaluation-over sensitivity (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ Belief Preservation)?Both note the lose of empirical info supporting the topic of rational pickax decision making, imputable to the overwhelming and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are be according to values and preferencesWhims and personality of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: BestEssayCheap.com

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